GBP On Watch Price action in GBPUSD is catching my eye here. The pair has been grinding lower in a well-defined bear channel since the YTD highs. However, the last decline saw strong bullish divergence in momentum studies and price has since traded back up to test the channel top and the resistance level at […]
The dollar erased gains made in the first half of the weekwhile risk assets posted moderate gains after release of ADP report for May,which was rather pessimistic about US labor market gains. According to the ADPreport, the economy added just 128K jobs, less than half of the 300K forecast.The dollar index left the range of […]
Type: Bullish RiseKey Levels:Resistance: 32154.75Pivot: 29499.38Support: 27331.52Preferred Case:On the H4, with price moving above the ichimoku cloud , we have a bullish bias that price will rise from our pivot at 29499.38 in line with the overlap support to the overlap resistance at 32154.75 in line with the 78.6% fibonacci projection.Alternative Scenario:Alternatively, price may reverse […]
Type: Bearish ContinuationKey Levels:Resistance: 104.235Pivot: 102.510Support: 101.315Preferred Case:With the donchian channel and MACD showing further bullish momentum , we have a bullish bias that price will rise from our pivot at 101.315 in line with the horizontal pullback support and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement to our 1st resistance at 104.235 in line with the horizontal overlap […]
CIBCFX FlowsNew Zealand first quarter terms of trade rose 0.5% over the quarter against estimates of +1.3%. Slight improvement in the previous quarter to -0.9% from -1.0%. Stats New Zealand said export volume fell 7% while import volume fell 2.6%. Little change in the NZ$. Intraday resistance 0.6568 and support around 0.6425. Small option expiry […]
CADJPY Movin’ On UpThe recent CADJPY bull flag trade has now triggered. The market broke out above the bear channel top and has now breached the 102.17 level. With MACD and RSI turned bullish the focus is on a continuation higher towards the 105.33 level. The driver behind the current move is primarily JPY weakness […]
Oil Traders Raise Upside Bets AgainThe latest CFTC COT institutional positioning report from the shows that oil traders increased their net long positions last week. Total upside exposure jumped from 325k positions to 334k positions. This marks the third consecutive weekly gain in oil prices. Despite the increase in upside bets, however, crude oil prices […]
Type: Bearish MomentumKey Levels:Resistance: 8886Pivot: 8788Support: 8454Preferred Case:On the H1, price is moving below the ichimoku cloud and breaking from the ascending channel which supports bearish bias that price will drop from our pivot at 8788 in line with the pullback resistance to the 1st support at 8454 in line with the swing low support, […]
Type: Bearish MomentumKey Levels:Resistance: 1085’2Pivot: 1065’2Support: 1027’0Preferred Case:On the H1, price is moving below the ichimoku cloud which supports bearish bias that price will drop from our pivot at 1065’2 in line with the overlap resistance and 23.6% fibonacci retracement to the 1st support at 1027’0 in line with the swing low support.Alternative Scenario:Alternatively, price […]
Type: Bullish RiseKey Levels:Resistance: 27740Pivot: 27370Support: 27140Preferred Case:On the H4, with price moving above the ichimoku cloud , we have a bullish bias that price will; rise from pivot at 27370 in line with the overlap support to the 1st resistance at 27740 in line with the 127.2% fibonacci extension and horizontal swing high.Alternative Scenario:Alternatively, […]