Tag: tickmill
Long-term rates in the US have been creeping down for the fourth session in a row amid warnings from major US investment banks that previous forecasts for the growth of the US economy for 2022 may be too optimistic. Goldman lowered its growth forecast for 1Q and for the full year for the third time […]
Rate Hikes Off The Table For NowThe Australian Dollar has been a little weaker over the European session so far on Tuesday following the February RBA meeting overnight. The RBA held off from announcing any rate hikes though the bank did outline that its pandemic-driven stimulus program would now cease. So far so good, this […]
Daily Market Outlook, February 1, 2022 Overnight Headlines Fed Officials See March Rate Hike, But No Roadmap After That US Treasury Lifts Quarterly Borrowing Estimate To $729 Billion Treasury Economist Sees Inflation Easing If Pandemic Recedes US Official: Iran Talks Entered Final Stretch, Time For Decisions US Weighs More Troops To Eastern Europe Past 8,500 […]
Equities Rebound As Dollar Tanks On Softer Fed CommentaryBenchmark global equities indices are starting February on the front foot with risk assets rebounding firmly this week following the heavy sell off seen over the prior fortnight. Equities appear to have taken some solace in the dialling back of hawkish Fed commentary following comments from Fed’s […]
CitiEuropean OpenLunar new year holidays ensured that it was quiet overnight, with just AUD markets in focus. This gave market participants some time to digest Monday moves, which saw US equities rally into the close. We suspect this was driven by a combination of short covering, month end flow, and slightly dovish Fedspeak relative to […]
Weak China Data Weighs On YuanThe latest set of Chinese PMI data sets released overnight have revealed the impact of fresh COVID lockdowns as the country battles omicron. The Caixin manufacturing PMI was seen falling to 49.1 in January, marking a decline from the prior month’s 50.9 reading and a fresh contraction in the factory […]
Metals In Meltdown As USD ReboundsThe uptick in the US Dollar over the last fortnight has taken a heavy toll on the metals complex with both gold and silver prices sinking. With the Fed having lad the groundwork for a March rate hike, and the market now keenly focused on gauging the likelihood of any […]
Potentially downbeat US macro surprises in January should be a key test of the strength of the dollar rally post-FOMC meeting. However, a possible disappointment, in my opinion, will be short-lived, since the Fed shouldn’t be spooked with one or bad reports. In addition, the driver of the slack is known, and it is also […]
The NZDCAD trend play initiated a fortnight ago from .8553 has now hits its final target at .8351. Weakness in NZD linked to the return of a nationwide lockdown there, as well as strength in CAD linked to higher oil prices and BOC hawkishness, has worked wonderfully for this trade. While the final target for […]
Type: Bearish ReversalKey Levels:Resistance: 90.248Pivot: 89.066Support: 85.537Preferred Case:Prices are consolidating in an ascending triangle. We see the potential for a dip from our Pivot at 89.066 in line with 127.2% Fibonacci extension and 161.8% Fibonacci projection towards our 1st support at 85.537 in line with 61.8% Fibonacci extension and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Divergence is spotted […]