Small Tweaks From BOJ The Japanese Yen hit its lowest level against EUR today for the first time since 2008. The fresh rally in EURJPY comes in response to the latest BOJ meeting overnight. The bank once again held headline policy unchanged, reaffirming its commitment to easing, despite making a further adjustment to its YCC […]
Title USDCHF H4 | Bouncing Off Support? Type Bullish Bounce Preference: The price is falling toward our pivot point of 0.9000, which serves as a pullback support level. A bounce from this point could lead the price to rise to the 1st resistance at 0.9064, a pullback resistance. Alternative scenario: However, if the price breaks […]
US Inflation Expectations Rise The latest report from the University of Michigan reveals a notable surge in the 1-year inflation expectations of households, jumping from the previous 3.2% to a substantial 4.2%. This figure significantly exceeds the 3.8% forecast. Notably, inflation expectations for the five years ahead remain steady at 3.0%. The Fed tracks inflation […]
Daily Market Outlook, October 30, 2023 Munnelly’s Market Commentary… Asia – stock markets experienced mixed trading with most major indices ending in negative territory. The ongoing geopolitical concerns remained at the forefront of investor sentiment as the month-end and upcoming risk events loomed. The Nikkei 225 was the weakest performer, down by 1.0%, as yields […]
Gold Under Pressure on Monday Gold prices are slipping on Monday, putting a pause on the more than 10% rally we’ve seen in gold over the last month. The selling comes despite news of Israel stepping up its invasion of Gaza this weekend through intensified land and air attacks. For now, the main focus seems […]
USD Pauses for Now The US Dollar starts the week in somewhat muted fashion as traders await fresh directional catalysts. Interesting to note that the CFTC institutional positioning report shows that USD long positions were reduced again last week, marking the third consecutive week of long covering. USD longs had hit their highest level in […]
TitleUSDJPY H4 | Falling to 50% Fibo support TypeBullish Bounce Preference: Price is falling towards the pivot point of 149.423 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level and could potentially reverse from here; we could see momentum carry price up to its 1st resistance at 149.99 which is a […]
TitleGBPNZD H4 | Dropping to pullback support TypeBullish Bounce Preference:Price is falling towards the pivot point of 2.07574 which is a pullback support level and could potentially reverse from here; we could see momentum carry price up to its 1st resistance at 2.09534 which is a swing-high resistance level. Alternative scenario:If price breaks below the […]
TitleNZDUSD H4 | Potential bearish reversal TypeBearish Reversal Preference: Price is rising towards the pivot point of 0.58333 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level and could potentially reverse from here; we could see momentum carry price down to its 1st support at 0.57733 which is a swing-low overlap […]
PCE Inflation vs. CPI: The Fed’s Guiding Star The release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation report has sent ripples through the markets. PCE inflation, second in importance only to the Consumer Price Index (CPI), is closely monitored by the Federal Reserve. In September, the Core PCE, a measure that excludes volatile food and […]