Day: May 11, 2023
EURUSD, “Euro vs US Dollar” The currency pair has completed a correction at 1.1000. A new structure of decline to 1.0963 is forming today. If this level breaks downwards, the potential for a wave of decline to 1.0930 could open, from where the trend might continue to 1.0903. This target is the first one. GBPUSD, […]
The decline of the most traded currency pair is accelerating. The current EURUSD quote is 1.0930. The market is following the inflation reports from the US and China and making interim conclusions. The US CPI for April came in below expectations at 4.9% y/y. Monthly inflation rose by 0.4% as forecast. The core CPI rose […]
BOE in Focus The Bank of England meets today for its May rates decision and market expectations are split, creating plenty of room for volatility in GBP and UK assets. While a further .25% hike is well-baked in, market expectations over the likely tone of the bank’s forward guidance are split. Hawks argue that with […]
Daily Market Outlook, May 11, 2023 Asian equity markets traded with a mixed tone after yet another erratic performance on Wall Street, indices whipsawed and treasuries rallied as US CPI came in broadly in line with expectations, while the headline number dipped under the expected 5% level printing 4.9%. The Hang Seng and Shanghai Comp […]
USDCAD, “US Dollar vs Canadian Dollar” USDCAD is correcting after a rebound from the support level. The instrument is going below the Ichimoku Cloud, which suggests a downtrend. A test of the Kijun-Sen line at 1.3415 is expected, followed by a decline to 1.3195. An additional signal confirming the decline will be a rebound from […]
USDCAD, “US Dollar vs Canadian Dollar” On H4, USDCAD has formed an Engulfing reversal pattern. The instrument is currently going by the reversal signal in an ascending wave. The pullback target could be 1.3420. Next, the price might rebound from this level and continue the downtrend. However, the price might drop to 1.3290 before correcting […]
Oil Traders Cut Longs The latest CFTC COT institutional positioning report shows that oil traders cut their long positions for a second week running last week. Total upside exposure fell to 215k contracts from around 236k contracts previously. While crude prices had been falling sharply following the reversal from April highs, prices have rebounded over […]
PPI On Watch Following on from yesterday’s CPI reading, traders will today turn their focus to the latest US PPI reading. Rate hike expectations for June have fallen sharply on the back of yesterday’s softer-than-forecast US CPI data. Pricing for a further .25% hike now sits below 10%, down from around 20% ahead of the […]
The Australian dollar against the US dollar maintains a growth momentum. The current quote is 0.6766. The statistics from yesterday showed that retail sales in Australia increased by 0.4% m/m as expected. The business sentiment index in April rose slightly to 0 points from -1 point previously. Firstly, the AUD is finding a foothold in […]
The NFP report released on Friday has transformed the perception of a rate hike by the Federal Reserve in June from unrealistic to tangible possibility. Strong inflation risks emerged from the data, with the unemployment rate reaching a multi-year low of 3.4% and monthly wage growth heating up to 0.5%. With prior confidence in the […]