Traders of federal funds futures rapidly readjusted their expectations for the size of the Federal Reserve’s anticipated next rate hike on July 27, by boosting the likelihood of a 100-basis-point hike to 67% after Wednesday’s hotter-than-expected June reading of the consumer price index. That’s up from 7.6% on Tuesday, according to the CME FedWatch Tool, and would lift the fed funds rate target to between 2.5% and 2.75%. The chance of a full-percentage-point hike continued to rise aggressively as Wednesday’s trading session wore on. Meanwhile, traders see a shrinking likelihood of a 75-basis-point rate hike in two weeks, at 33%, down from 92% on Tuesday.
Source: Marketwatch