Market Analysis

China Data Rebounds Firmly The latest data out of China overnight has painted an encouraging picture of the economic recovery underway there since the government abandoned its zero covid policy at the start of the year. The latest CAIXIN manufacturing PMI reading was seen jumping to 51.6 last month, up from 49.2 in January. As […]

US Orders for durable goods – one of the key components of consumption, which is a decent proxy of households’ expectations of future incomes, posted decent gain in January. The headline reading declined MoM, however, excluding defense products and civil aviation, it rose by 0.8% (forecast was 0.1%). The latter indicator is more important because […]

AUDUSD, “Australian Dollar vs US Dollar” On H4, the quotes are under the 200-day Moving Average, which indicates prevalence of a downtrend. The RSI has bounced off the resistance line. A downward breakaway of 2/8 (0.6713) should be expected, followed by falling to the support level of 1/8 (0.6652). The scenario can be cancelled by […]

The British pound against the US dollar somewhat stabilised. The current quote is 1.2043. The issue of Brexit has come afloat in quite an unexpected way. Rishi Sunak’s government is now facing a hard task: it needs to persuade politicians from Northern Ireland to support a new trade agreement with the EU after Britain exited […]

EURUSD, “Euro vs US Dollar” EURUSD is testing the signal lines of the indicator. The instrument is going below the Ichimoku Cloud, which suggests a downtrend. A test of the lower border of the Cloud at 1.0635 is expected, followed by falling to 1.0365. An additional signal confirming the decline will be a bounce off […]

EURUSD, “Euro vs US Dollar” The currency pair has completed a wave of decline to 1.0532. Today the market has demonstrated a link of correction to 1.0615 (a test from below). At the moment, a structure of decline is forming to 1.0475. After this level is reached, a new correction to 1.0705 might begin, followed […]

The Japanese yen against the US dollar remains weak. The current quote is 136.35. Morning statistics from Japan demonstrated growth of retail sales in January by 6.3% y/y while the forecast had been 4.2%. A month before, the growth amounted to 3.8% y/y. The prelim calculation of industrial production volume in December demonstrated a decline […]

USDCAD, “US Dollar vs Canadian Dollar” On H4, the pair has formed a Hammer reversal pattern. The instrument is now going by the signal in an ascending wave. The goal of growth might be 1.3655; later the price might break through it and continue the growth. However, the price can pull back to 1.3540 before […]

On Monday, the BTC is balancing near 23,488 USD. US investors on Friday were avoiding risks, which led to a sale at US exchanges. However, this just barely touched upon the crypto world. Market participants remain neutral, waiting for a chance to get towards the purchasing goals. The BTC needs to secure above 23,500 USD […]

EURUSD has fallen even deeper. The current quote is 1.0550. The main thing that triggered growth of the USD was the publication of an inflation report, meaningful for the Fed. Namely, the Core PCE Price Index. These are the data that the regulator uses to decide upon the interest rate. Well, in January the index […]

EURUSD, “Euro vs US Dollar” The currency pair has completed a wave of decline to 1.0550. Today the market might demonstrate a link of correction to 1.0590 and go down to 1.0490. Then a new wave of correction to 1.0705 should start, followed by a decline to 1.0380. GBPUSD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar” […]

EURUSD, “Euro vs US Dollar” On H4, the quotes are under the 200-day Moving Average, indicating prevalence of a downtrend. However, the RSI has reached the oversold area, hinting on possible development of a correction. As a result, a test of 2/8 (1.0498) should be expected, followed by a bounce off it and growth of […]