Market Analysis

The Australian dollar is declining against the US dollar. The current AUDUSD quote is 0.6667. According to the minutes of the last meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia, at the meeting, the regulator considered the option of raising the interest rate by 25 basis points or making a pause.  In the end, the interest […]

The most traded currency pair in the market has stabilised after the preceding decline. The current EURUSD quote is 1.0880. The focus of the market remains on the US public debt situation. Time is running out: by 1 June, the federal government will run out of money to pay for its spending. Congress returned to […]

Bullish Bias for Gold  Gold prices are holding around the middle of the 1973.51 – 2069.41 range following the correction lower from 2069.41 highs. Prices have corrected lower recently amidst an uptick in USD attached to unexpected strength in US consumer inflation expectations and some Fed pushback against rate cut expectations. USD has also been […]

US Retail Sales Next On the back of yesterday’s Empire State Manufacturing reading, focus today shifts to the latest US Retail Sales data. Following the negative readings seen over the prior month, the market is expecting a firm rebound in today’s data, reflected increased consumer activity amidst the decline in inflation recently. On the numbers […]

EURUSD, “Euro vs US Dollar” The currency pair has completed a wave of correction to 1.0890. Today the market is forming a consolidation range under this level. An escape from the range upwards and a structure of growth to 1.0920 are not excluded, followed by a decline to 1.0833. And if this level also breaks […]

AUDUSD, “Australian Dollar vs US Dollar” On H4, the quotes are under the 200-day Moving Average, revealing the prevalence of a downtrend. The RSI has rebounded from the resistance line. In this situation, a downward breakout of 3/8 (0.6683) is expected, followed by a decline to the support level of 1/8 (0.6622). The scenario can […]

Unemployment Rises  GBP has seen plenty of volatility over the European open on Tuesday as traders digest the latest UK jobs data. The unemployment rate was seen increasing to 3.9% from 3.8% prior while the claimant count change was seen rising to 46.7k from 28.2k prior, well above the 31.2k the market was looking for. […]

Bitcoin is still undergoing correction. The asset has closely approached the supporting level of 25200. Bitcoin is likely to rebound from this level and jump. It might also break the support. So, it might be interesting to observe the price movements next to this level. Silver has dived under the supporting level of 24.75, forming […]

EURUSD, “Euro vs US Dollar” EURUSD has secured under the Tenkan-Sen line of the indicator. The instrument is going below the Ichimoku Cloud, which suggests a downtrend. A test of the Kijun-Sen line at 1.0905 is expected, followed by a decline to 1.0735. An additional signal confirming the decline will be a rebound from the […]

USDCAD, “US Dollar vs Canadian Dollar” On H4, the pair has formed a Harami reversal pattern. Currently, the instrument is going by the reversal signal in a descending wave. The decline target might be 1.3420. Next, the price has a chance to break the level and continue the downtrend. However, the quotes could correct to […]

Daily Market Outlook, May 16, 2023 Asian equities have had a mixed trading session overnight, with the positive momentum from Wall Street failing to be sustained. US regional banks experienced a short squeeze, driving stocks higher. However, the upside was limited due to concerns over the debt ceiling and a disappointing NY Fed Manufacturing survey. […]

Next Round of Talks on Watch  US debt ceiling negotiations continue today and focus is on the US Dollar given the two-way risks around the issue. Given the lack of progress so far, there are limited expectations that any resolution will be agreed today. As such, USD might trade higher into the middle of the […]