4% fed funds rate ‘won’t be high enough,’ Jefferies economists say after August CPI report

4%-fed-funds-rate-‘won’t-be-high-enough,’-jefferies-economists-say-after-august-cpi-report

Tuesday’s August consumer-price index report, which showed “very stubborn” pressure remaining in the gauge which excludes food and energy, “is a game changer in terms of Fed expectations,” Jefferies economists Aneta Markowska and Thomas Simons said in a note. They said a 4% terminal fed funds rate, the level at which the Fed is seen as ending its rate-hike campaign, “won’t be high enough.” The economists said that the messaging from Fed policy makers “is likely to shift very quickly from a 4% terminal funds rate toward 4.5% and perhaps even higher.” After the CPI data, stocks fell sharply, with Dow industrials DJIA, -3.94% down by more than 800 points in morning trading, and the policy-sensitive 2-year Treasury yield TMUBMUSD02Y, 3.745% soared to another 2007 high.

Source: Marketwatch

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