Type:
Bullish Rise
Key Levels:
Resistance: 14222
Pivot: 13674
Support: 13341
Preferred Case:
On the H4, with prices moving along an ascending trendline and above the ichimoku indicator, we have a bullish bias that price will rise to the pivot at 13674 where the pullback resistance is. Once there is upside confirmation of price breaking pivot structure, we would expect bullish momentum to carry price to 1st resistance at 14222 where the 78.6% fibonacci retracement and 78.6% fibonacci projection are.
Alternative Scenario:
Alternatively, price could drop to the 1st support at 13341 where the overlap support and 38.2% fibonacci retracement are.
Fundamentals:
Due to the House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s trip to Taiwan capital, Taipei, the DAX Index is exposed to downside risk and we have a bearish view on the DAX Index . We’ll need to exercise caution for this setup because our fundamentals and technicals are not completely aligned.
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Written by Desmond Leong
Desmond Leong runs an award-winning research firm (The Technical Analyst finalists 2018/19/20 for Best FX and Equity Research) advising banks, brokers and hedge funds. Backed by a team of CFA, CMT, CFTe accredited traders, he takes on the market daily using a combination of technical and fundamental analysis.
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Source: Tickmill